Saturday, July 26, 2025

8th Pay Commission May Recommend 13% Salary Hike

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The Government of India is preparing to constitute the 8th Pay Commission (CPC), which is expected to recommend a 13% effective salary hike for nearly 50 lakh central government employees and 65 lakh pensioners.

While the commission was announced in January 2025, its formal setup—including the appointment of members and definition of Terms of Reference (ToR)—is still underway.

The implementation timeline is projected for late 2026 or early 2027, according to multiple reports including one by Kotak Institutional Equities.

8th Pay Commission: Fitment Factor and Salary Structure

A key component of the salary revision is the fitment factor, which adjusts the basic pay under the new pay matrix.

The 8th CPC is expected to recommend a fitment factor of 1.8, lower than the 2.57 used in the 7th CPC.

This would raise the minimum basic pay from ₹18,000 to ₹30,000 per month, but due to the reset of Dearness Allowance (DA) to zero upon implementation, the net salary increase is estimated to be around 13%.

For example:

  • An employee earning ₹50,000 basic pay may see it revised to ₹90,000.
  • However, factoring in the current DA of 55%, the effective increase would be ₹12,500, not ₹40,000.

8th Pay Commission: Timeline and Implementation Status

Historically, pay commissions take 1.5 years to prepare their reports, followed by a 3–9 month implementation window.

The 6th and 7th CPCs followed similar timelines. As of July 2025:

  • The Department of Personnel & Training (DoPT) has extended deadlines for filling key posts within the commission panel.
  • Inputs have been sought from stakeholders including the Ministry of Defence, Ministry of Home Affairs, Department of Personnel & Training, and various state governments.
  • The Terms of Reference are yet to be officially notified.

Fiscal Impact and Economic Implications

The projected fiscal cost of implementing the 8th Central Pay Commission is estimated to be between 0.6% and 0.8% of India’s GDP.

This would result in additional government spending amounting to ₹2.4–₹3.2 lakh crore.

Grade C employees, who make up nearly 90% of the central workforce, are expected to benefit the most.

Past pay commission rollouts have led to:

  • Temporary surges in discretionary spending (e.g., automobiles, consumer goods)
  • Boosts in GDP growth, as seen during the 7th CPC and One Rank One Pension (OROP) implementation in FY17
  • Increased savings, with Kotak estimating ₹1–1.5 lakh crore in incremental deposits and investments

Stakeholder Reactions and Concerns

Employee unions have voiced their concerns over the proposed fitment factor.

The Staff Side of the National Council–Joint Consultative Machinery (NC-JCM) has been especially vocal in expressing dissatisfaction.

They argue that:

  • A lower multiplier than the 7th CPC is inequitable amid rising inflation
  • Delays in formal constitution and lack of clarity are causing uncertainty among employees and pensioners

Some legal experts have warned that a regressive fitment factor could invite judicial scrutiny.

They point to the principle of non-retrogression in administrative law, which discourages rolling back benefits once granted.


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Sahiba Sharma
Sahiba Sharmahttps://sightsinplus.com/
Sahiba Sharma, Senior Editor - Content at SightsIn Plus